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Another Look at the Null of Stationary Real Exchange Rates: Panel Data with Structural Breaks and Cross-section Dependence

机译:静态实际汇率为零的另一种观察:具有结构断裂和横截面依赖性的面板数据

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摘要

This paper re-examines the null of stationary of real exchange rate for a panel of seventeen OECD developed countries during the post-Bretton Woods era. Our analysis simultaneously considers both the presence of cross-section dependence and multiple structural breaks that have not received much attention in previous panel methods of long-run PPP. Empirical results indicate that there is little evidence in favor of PPP hypothesis when the analysis does not account for structural breaks. This conclusion is reversed when structural breaks are considered in computation of the panel statistics. We also compute point estimates of half-life separately for idiosyncratic and common factor components and find that it is always below one year.
机译:本文重新审视了布雷顿森林体系后时期由17个经合组织发达国家组成的小组的实际汇率平稳性为零的情况。我们的分析同时考虑了横截面依赖性和多个结构性断裂的存在,而这些结构性断裂在以前的长期PPP方法中并没有受到太多关注。实证结果表明,当分析不考虑结构性断裂时,几乎没有证据支持PPP假设。当在面板统计数据的计算中考虑结构性断裂时,该结论将被推倒。我们还分别计算了特质和公因子分量的半衰期的点估计值,发现该值始终低于一年。

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