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A nonparametric test for stationarity in functional time series

机译:功能时间序列平稳性的非参数检验

摘要

We propose a new measure for stationarity of a functional time series, which is based on an explicit representation of the L2-distance between the spectral density operator of a non-stationary process and its best (L2-)approximation by a spectral density operator corresponding to a stationary process. This distance can easily be estimated by sums of Hilbert-Schmidt inner products of periodogram operators (evaluated at different frequencies), and asymptotic normality of an appropriately standardised version of the estimator can be established for the corresponding estimate under the null hypothesis and alternative. As aresult we obtain confidence intervals for the discrepancy of the underlying process from a functional stationary process and a simple asymptotic frequency domain level ® test (using the quantiles of the normal distribution) for the hypothesis of stationarity of functional time series. Moreover, the new methodology allows also to test precise hypotheses of the form “the functional time series is approximately stationarity”, which means that the new measure of stationarity is smaller than a given threshold. Thus in contrast to methods proposed in the literature our approach also allows to test for “relevant” deviations from stationarity. We demonstrate in a small simulation study that the new method has very good finite sample properties and compare it with the currently available alternative procedures. Moreover, we apply our test to annual temperature curves.
机译:我们提出了一个功能时间序列平稳性的新度量,该度量基于非平稳过程的频谱密度算符与其对应的最佳频谱密度算符的最佳(L2-)逼近之间的L2距离的显式表示。平稳的过程。可以通过周期图算子的希尔伯特-施密特内积之和(在不同频率下进行评估)轻松估算此距离,并且可以在无效假设和替代条件下为相应的估算值建立适当标准化的估算器的渐近正态性。因此,对于功能时间序列平稳性的假设,我们从功能平稳过程和简单渐近频域水平®测试(使用正态分布的分位数)获得了基础过程差异的置信区间。此外,新方法还可以测试“功能时间序列近似平稳”形式的精确假设,这意味着平稳性的新度量小于给定阈值。因此,与文献中提出的方法相比,我们的方法还允许测试平稳性的“相关”偏差。我们在一个小型模拟研究中证明了该新方法具有很好的有限样本属性,并将其与当前可用的替代程序进行了比较。此外,我们将测试应用于年度温度曲线。

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