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Goodness-of- fit tests for multivariate copula-based time series models

机译:基于多元copula的时间序列模型的拟合优度检验

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摘要

In recent years, stationary time series models based on copula functionsbecame increasingly popular in econometrics to model nonlineartemporal and cross-sectional dependencies. Within these models, weconsider the problem of testing the goodness-of-fit of the parametricform of the underlying copula. Our approach is based on a dependentmultiplier bootstrap and it can be applied to any stationary, stronglymixing time series. The method extends recent i.i.d. results by Kojadinovic,Yan and Holmes [I. Kojadinovic, Y. Yan and M. Holmes,Fast large sample goodness-of- fit tests for copulas, Statistica Sinica21 (2011), 841{871] and shares the same computational benefits comparedto methods based on a parametric bootstrap. The finite-sampleperformance of our approach is investigated by Monte Carlo experimentsfor the case of copula-based Markovian time series models.
机译:近年来,基于copula函数的平稳时间序列模型在计量经济学中越来越流行,以对非线性时间和截面相关性进行建模。在这些模型中,我们考虑了测试底层系动词参数形式的拟合优度的问题。我们的方法基于相关乘数自举,并且可以应用于任何平稳的强混合时间序列。该方法扩展了最近的i.d. Kojadinovic,Yan和Holmes的结果[I. Kojadinovic,Y。Yan和M. Holmes,快速,大样本的copula拟合优度检验,Statistica Sinica21(2011),841 {871],与基于参数自举的方法相比,具有相同的计算优势。对于基于copula的马尔可夫时间序列模型,通过蒙特卡洛实验研究了我们方法的有限样本性能。

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