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Transport Modelling During Preparation of General Plans in Big Cities: Reasons and Challenges

机译:大城市总体规划编制过程中的交通建模:原因和挑战

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摘要

Rapidly growing mobility of people in European cities attaches greater importance to the sustainable developmentconcept. The dynamics of European cities are however different. Cites such as Lithuanian, Slovakian and Polishones will rapidly increase traffic flows and car ownership at fast pace. Also in most of Western Europe, even if at lowerrates, private mobility is increasing. In some cities, however, car use and car ownership are finally decreasing, alsothanks to policies implemented. Of course, an increase of traffic flows poses problems in terms of street space, pollutionand liveability of cities. Sustainable integration of all kinds of transport into the urban development process is one ofthe most effective actions in the hands of city planners. The coordination between the planning of residential and businessdevelopment areas and the expansion of public transport and its hierarchical integration is however a difficult butnecessary exercise. Transport modelling tools, in particular, need important advancements to integrate transport andland use in simulations. This article analyses the main challenges in the use of transport models to support the constructionof city plans by means of two case studies of Milan and Vilnius. The analysis deals both with traditional aspects,such as the proper simulation of multimodal choices, the level of detail of zoning, the issues associated to the simulationof traffic management policies. Then, we will focus on two aspects still open: the integration of transport modelling andeconomic assessment or ranking of actions, and the inclusion of land use changes in the modelling.
机译:在欧洲城市中,人们快速增长的流动性更加重视可持续发展的概念。但是,欧洲城市的动态却有所不同。立陶宛语,斯洛伐克语和波兰语等城市将迅速增加交通流量和汽车拥有量。同样在西欧大部分地区,即使低利率,私人流动也正在增加。然而,在某些城市,由于实施了相关政策,汽车使用和拥有汽车的人数最终有所减少。当然,交通流量的增加在街道空间,污染和城市宜居性方面造成了问题。将各种运输方式可持续地整合到城市发展过程中,是城市规划者手中最有效的行动之一。然而,在住宅和商业开发区的规划与公共交通的扩展及其等级整合之间的协调是一项困难而必要的工作。特别是,运输建模工具需要进行重大改进,以将运输和土地使用整合到模拟中。本文通过米兰和维尔纽斯两个案例研究,分析了在使用交通模型支持城市规划建设过程中的主要挑战。分析涉及传统方面,例如多模式选择的正确模拟,分区的详细程度以及与交通管理策略模拟相关的问题。然后,我们将重点关注仍未解决的两个方面:交通运输模型与经济评估或行动等级的集成,以及在模型中纳入土地用途变化。

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