A time series analysis on the prospective relationships between the water level dynamics of Lake Erie and the El Nino/Southern Oscillation phenomenon.

摘要

In an attempt to gain a better understanding of Lake Erie water level dynamics, this study assesses the relationship between the Lake Erie water balance and the El Nino/Southern Oscillation (ENSO) phenomenon using data collected from 1950--1998. After standardizing the collected data, Box-Jenkins time series techniques were utilized assess the temporal patterns and interrelationships of the Multivariate ENSO Index and the Lake Erie water balance variables. Because the MEI is a relatively new measure of the state of ENSO, little research has been completed using the MEI as air independent regressor variable. As such, the findings in this study merely represent a stepping stone to build from, and should not be considered as definitive. Future studies of the relationship between Great Lakes water levels and the ENSO phenomenon may be best served to incorporate both Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) and MEI, to determine any differences the two indices may have. (Abstract shortened by UMI.)Dept. of Earth Sciences. Paper copy at Leddy Library: Theses u26 Major Papers - Basement, West Bldg. / Call Number: Thesis2000 .J64. Source: Masters Abstracts International, Volume: 39-02, page: 0468. Adviser: P. D. La Valle. Thesis (M.A.)--University of Windsor (Canada), 2000.