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Automatische Optimierung zur Bewertung und Risikoanalyse einer Hochwasserschutzmaßnahme

机译:自动优化防洪措施的评估和风险分析

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摘要

To yield the optimum result for a dike with a sheet pile wall as a flood defense measure an automatic optimization system is introduced. The measure is to protect the settlement from direct inundation and from rising groundwater levels. In the context of a principle study the structure of a numeric TEST MODEL is build. First a fundamental qualification test of the optimization system is made with a steady state model and a simplified evaluation. In the next investigation step an unsteady state flood wave is merged as boundary condition. Apart from the improved hydraulic description of the optimization problem the evaluation module is extended by statistically and empirically justified cost functions, so that a monetary evaluation of each suggested variant can take place. The invention of indirect parameterization, which uses geometry information from the finite elements net to reduce the necessary number of parameters for the description of a solution variant, forms the emphasis of the investigations at the TEST MODEL. The reduction of the number of parameters by indirect parameterization improves the optimization lastingly. Under adherence to the objectivity and the validity both the reliability and the efficiency of the optimization can be increased. In the third investigation step with the TEST MODEL a holistic risk analysis is merged into the evaluation module. In the context of the risk investigations it is possible to evaluate a variant considering up to a certain design flood and beyond that. The transmission of the automation system on a practice-relevant question takes place in the example of use Weiβer Bogen. Thus the possibilities and the restrictions of the practical use of an automatic optimization system to answer comprehensive questions in hydraulic engineering are put out.
机译:为了获得具有板桩墙作为防洪措施的堤防的最佳结果,引入了一种自动优化系统。采取的措施是保护住区免受直接淹没和地下水位上升的影响。在原理研究的背景下,建立了数字测试模型的结构。首先,使用稳态模型和简化的评估对优化系统进行基本资格测试。在下一个调查步骤中,将非稳态洪水波合并为边界条件。除了优化问题的改进水力描述之外,评估模块还通过统计和经验证明的成本函数扩展,以便可以对每个建议的变体进行货币评估。间接参数化的发明使用有限元网络中的几何信息来减少描述解决方案变体所必需的参数数量,从而形成了TEST MODEL研究的重点。通过间接参数化减少参数数量可以持续改善优化。在坚持客观性和有效性的前提下,可以提高优化的可靠性和效率。在带有“测试模型”的第三调查步骤中,将整体风险分析合并到评估模块中。在风险调查的背景下,有可能在考虑特定设计洪水之前和之后评估一个变量。自动化系统在与实践相关的问题上的传输以使用魏伯格尔的例子为例。因此,提出了自动优化系统在回答液压工程中的综合问题方面的实际应用的可能性和局限性。

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    van Linn Andreas;

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  • 年度 2006
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