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A Two Period Model with Portfolio Choice: UnderstandingudResults from Different Solution Methods

机译:具有投资组合选择的两个期间模型:理解 ud不同解决方法的结果

摘要

Using a stylized two period model we obtain portfolio solutions from two solution approaches that belong to the class of local approximation methods - the approach of Juddudand Guu (2001, hereafter 'JG') and the approach of Devereux and Sutherland (2010, 2011,hereafter 'DS') - and compare them with the true portfolio solution. We parameterizeudthe model to match mean, standard deviation, skewness and kurtosis of return data on aggregate MSCI stock market indices. The optimal equity holdings in the true solutionuddepend on the size of uncertainty, and the precise form of this relationship is determined by the distributional properties of equity returns. While the DS method and the JG approach provide the same portfolio solution as the size of uncertainty goes to zero, else the two solutions can differ substantially. Because under the DS method portfolio holdings are never approximated in the direction of the size of uncertainty, even higher-order approximations lead to the (zero-order) constant solution in our example model. In contrast, the JG solution generally varies as the size of uncertainty changes, and already a second-order JG solution can account for effects of skewness and kurtosis of equity returns. (authors' abstract)
机译:使用程式化的两期间模型,我们从属于局部逼近方法类别的两种求解方法中获得投资组合解决方案-Judd udand Guu(2001,以下简称“ JG”)方法以及Devereux和Sutherland(2010,2011) ,以下简称“ DS”)-并将其与真实的投资组合解决方案进行比较。我们对模型进行参数化处理,以匹配MSCI总股票市场指数上的收益数据的均值,标准差,偏度和峰度。真实解中的最优股权持有量 ud取决于不确定性的大小,并且这种关系的精确形式取决于股权收益的分配特性。当不确定性的大小变为零时,DS方法和JG方法提供了相同的投资组合解决方案,但是,这两种解决方案可能会有很大差异。因为在DS方法下,投资组合持有量从未在不确定性大小的方向上近似,所以在我们的示例模型中,甚至更高阶的近似也导致(零阶)常数解。相比之下,JG解决方案通常会随着不确定性大小的变化而变化,并且二阶JG解决方案已经可以解决股权收益率偏斜和峰度的影响。 (作者摘要)

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