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Flooding through the lens of mobile phone activity

机译:通过手机活动的镜头泛滥

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摘要

Natural disasters affect hundreds of millions of people worldwide every year. Emergency response efforts depend upon the availability of timely information, such as information concerning the movements of affected populations. The analysis of aggregated and anonymized Call Detail Records (CDR) captured from the mobile phone infrastructure provides new possibilities to characterize human behavior during critical events. In this work, we investigate the viability of using CDR data combined with other sources of information to characterize the floods that occurred in Tabasco, Mexico in 2009. An impact map has been reconstructed using Landsat-7 images to identify the floods. Within this frame, the underlying communication activity signals in the CDR data have been analyzed and compared against rainfall levels extracted from data of the NASA-TRMM project. The variations in the number of active phones connected to each cell tower reveal abnormal activity patterns in the most affected locations during and after the floods that could be used as signatures of the floods - both in terms of infrastructure impact assessment and population information awareness. The epresentativeness of the analysis has been assessed using census data and civil protection records. While a more extensive validation is required, these early results suggest high potential in using cell tower activity information to improve early warning and emergency management mechanisms.
机译:每年,自然灾害影响着全球数亿人。应急工作取决于及时的信息,例如有关受影响人口流动的信息。对从移动电话基础设施中捕获的汇总和匿名呼叫详细记录(CDR)的分析提供了在关键事件期间表征人类行为的新可能性。在这项工作中,我们调查了结合使用CDR数据和其他信息源来表征2009年在墨西哥塔巴斯科发生的洪水的可行性。已经使用Landsat-7图像重建了影响图以识别洪水。在此框架内,已对CDR数据中的基础通信活动信号进行了分析,并与从NASA-TRMM项目数据中提取的降雨水平进行了比较。连接到每个手机信号塔的活动电话数量的变化揭示了洪水期间和之后受影响最严重的地区的异常活动模式,这些活动可以用作洪水的信号-从基础设施影响评估和人口信息意识方面而言。使用人口普查数据和民事保护记录评估了分析的代表性。尽管需要更广泛的验证,但这些早期结果表明,利用细胞信号塔活动信息来改善预警和应急管理机制具有很高的潜力。

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