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An Integrated Transport Planning Framework Involving a Combined Utility-Regret Approach

机译:结合了效用与遗憾相结合的综合运输计划框架

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摘要

Sustainable transport planning requires an integrated approach involving strategic planning, impact analysis, and multicriteria evaluation. This study aimed at relaxing the utility-based decision-making assumption by newly embedding anticipated-regret and combined utility regret decision mechanisms in a framework for integrated transport planning. The framework consisted of a two-round Delphi survey, integrated land use and transport model for Madrid, and multicriteria analysis. Results show that (a) the regret-based ranking has a similar mean but larger variance than the utility-based ranking does, (b) the least-regret scenario forms a compromise between the desired and the expected scenarios, (c) the least-regret scenario can lead to higher user benefits in the short term and lower user benefits in the long term, (d) the utility-based, the regret-based, and the combined utility- and regret-based multicriteria analyses result in different rankings of policy packages, and (e) the combined utility regret ranking is more informative compared with the utility-based or the regret-based ranking.
机译:可持续交通运输规划需要一种综合方法,包括战略规划,影响分析和多标准评估。这项研究旨在通过将预期后悔和联合效用后悔决策机制新嵌入到综合运输计划的框架中,以放宽基于效用的决策假设。该框架包括两轮Delphi调查,马德里的土地使用和运输综合模型以及多准则分析。结果表明:(a)基于遗憾的排名与基于效用的排名相比具有相似的均值,但方差更大;(b)遗憾程度最低的方案在期望方案和预期方案之间形成折衷,(c)最小的方案后悔场景可以在短期内带来更高的用户收益,从长期来看会降低用户的收益。(d)基于效用,遗憾的以及基于效用和遗憾的综合多准则分析得出不同的排名(e)组合的效用后悔排名与基于效用的排名或基于后悔的排名相比,提供的信息更多。

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