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Short-term electricity prices forecasting in a competitive market by a hybrid PSO-ANFIS approach

机译:通过PSO-ANFIS混合方法预测竞争市场中的短期电价

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摘要

In this paper, a novel hybrid approach is proposed for electricity prices forecasting in a competitive market, considering a time horizon of 1 week. The proposed approach is based on the combination of particle swarm optimization and adaptive-network based fuzzy inference system. Results from a case study based on the electricity market of mainland Spain are presented. A thorough comparison is carried out, taking into account the results of previous publications, to demonstrate its effectiveness regarding forecasting accuracy and computation time. Finally, conclusions are duly drawn. (C) 2012 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
机译:在本文中,考虑了1周的时间跨度,提出了一种新颖的混合方法来预测竞争市场中的电价。提出的方法是基于粒子群优化和基于自适应网络的模糊推理系统的结合。给出了基于西班牙大陆电力市场的案例研究结果。考虑到先前出版物的结果,进行了全面的比较,以证明其在预测准确性和计算时间方面的有效性。最后,得出了适当的结论。 (C)2012 Elsevier Ltd.保留所有权利。

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