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Technical Change Theory and Learning Curves: Patterns of Progress in Energy Technologies

机译:技术变革理论和学习曲线:能源技术的进步模式

摘要

This paper presents a comparative analysis of energy technology learning and progress within the framework of Schumpeter’s invention-innovation-diffusion paradigm. We estimate learning by doing and research rates for a range of energy technologies in four stages of technical progress. Emerging and mature technologies respond slowly to research and development (R&D) and capacity expansion; evolving technologies exhibit high learning-by-doing and research rates; reviving technologies exhibit considerable response to learning-by-research although they do not face significant market constraints. We generally find higher learning-by-doing than learning-by-research rates but do not find any development stage where learning-by-doing alone is the dominant driver of technical change. Also, high capital intensity and market constraints appear to slow down the pace of progress of emerging and evolving technologies. We find little scope for potential substitution between learning-by-doing and learning-by-research across the technologies and different stages of their development path.
机译:本文对熊彼特的发明,创新,扩散范式框架内的能源技术学习和进步进行了比较分析。我们通过技术进步的四个阶段估算一系列能源技术的边做边学和研究率。新兴和成熟的技术对研发和产能扩展的反应缓慢。不断发展的技术表现出很高的边做边学和研究率;尽管复兴技术没有面临重大的市场限制,但它们对按学习进行的学习表现出相当大的反应。通常,我们发现边做边学要比研究学习的比率高,但是没有找到一个发展阶段,其中,边做边学是技术变革的主要驱动力。同样,高资本密集度和市场限制似乎减缓了新兴技术的发展步伐。我们发现跨技术和其发展路径的不同阶段的“边做边学”和“按需学习”之间的潜在替代几乎没有余地。

著录项

  • 作者

    Jamasb Tooraj;

  • 作者单位
  • 年度 2006
  • 总页数
  • 原文格式 PDF
  • 正文语种 {"code":"en","name":"English","id":9}
  • 中图分类

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