首页> 外文OA文献 >RANDOM EFFECTS MODELS IN A META-ANALYSIS OF THE ACCURACY OF DIAGNOSTIC TESTS WITHIN A GOLD STANDARD IN THE PRESENCE OF MISSING DATA
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RANDOM EFFECTS MODELS IN A META-ANALYSIS OF THE ACCURACY OF DIAGNOSTIC TESTS WITHIN A GOLD STANDARD IN THE PRESENCE OF MISSING DATA

机译:存在缺失数据的金标准诊断分析准确性的元分析中的随机效应模型

摘要

In evaluating the accuracy of diagnosis tests, it is common to apply two imperfect tests jointly or sequentially to a study population. In a recent meta-analysis of the accuracy of microsatellite instability testing (MSI) and traditional mutation analysis (MUT) in predicting germline mutations of the mismatch repair (MMR) genes, a Bayesian approach (Chen, Watson, and Parmigiani 2005) was proposed to handle missing data resulting from partial testing and the lack of a gold standard. In this paper, we demonstrate an improved estimation of the sensitivities and specificities of MSI and MUT by using a nonlinear mixed model and a Bayesian hierarchical model, both of which account for the heterogeneity across studies through study-specific random effects. The methods can be used to estimate the accuracy of two imperfect diagnostic tests in other meta-analyses when the prevalence of disease, the sensitivities and/or the specificities of diagnostic tests are heterogeneous among studies. Furthermore, simulation studies have demonstrated the importance of carefully selecting appropriate random effects on the estimation of diagnostic accuracy measurements in this scenario.
机译:在评估诊断测试的准确性时,通常将两个不完善的测试联合或顺序地应用于研究人群。在最近对微卫星不稳定性测试(MSI)和传统突变分析(MUT)预测失配修复(MMR)基因的种系突变的准确性进行的荟萃分析中,提出了一种贝叶斯方法(Chen,Watson和Parmigiani 2005)。处理由于部分测试和缺乏黄金标准而导致的数据丢失。在本文中,我们证明了通过使用非线性混合模型和贝叶斯层次模型,可以更好地估计MSI和MUT的敏感性和特异性,这两种模型都通过特定于研究的随机效应来解释研究之间的异质性。当疾病的流行程度,诊断测试的敏感性和/或特异性在研究之间异质时,这些方法可用于估计其他不完善的两次诊断测试的准确性。此外,仿真研究表明,在这种情况下,仔细选择适当的随机效应对诊断准确性测量值的评估非常重要。

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