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Semiparametric Regression in Capture-Recapture Modelling

机译:捕获-捕获建模中的半参数回归

摘要

Capture-recapture models were developed to estimate survival using data arising from marking and monitoring wild animals over time. Variation in the survival process may be explained by incorporating relevant covariates. We develop nonparametric and semiparametric regression models for estimating survival in capture-recapture models. A fully Bayesian approach using MCMC simulations was employed to estimate the model parameters. The work is illustrated by a study of Snow petrels, in which survival probabilities are expressed as nonlinear functions of a climate covariate, using data from a 40-year study on marked individuals, nesting at Petrels Island, Terre Adelie.
机译:开发了捕获-捕获模型以使用随时间标记和监视野生动物而产生的数据来估计生存。可以通过纳入相关协变量来解释生存过程的差异。我们开发非参数和半参数回归模型来估计捕获-捕获模型中的生存​​期。采用了使用MCMC模拟的完全贝叶斯方法来估计模型参数。这项研究通过对“雪海燕”的研究进行了说明,其中将生存概率表示为气候协变量的非线性函数,该研究使用了在特雷阿德利岛海燕岛进行的40年有标记个体的研究得出的数据。

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