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Terrorism Risk and Democratic Preferences in Pakistan

机译:巴基斯坦的恐怖主义风险和民主偏好

摘要

Beyond direct damages, terrorism creates fear and insecurity, potentially reducing support for democratic institutions if these are deemed inadequate to tackle the threat, and increasing support for military governments. To investigate this possibility, we use data from Pakistan, a country that experienced an exponential rise in terrorism since 2001. Exploiting individual leveluddata on democratic attitudes and district level information on terrorist attacks, we document that persistent exposure to terrorism (and more broadly to violence) is associated to a significantly lower support for democratic values. Results are robust to the inclusion of different sets of controls, to sample splits based on gender, urbanization and education, and to endogeneity considerations. Instrumenting terrorism and violence by the distance from the Pak-Afghan border and by religious fractionalization suggests that the documented correlation reflects a causal impact. Terrorism thus threatens not only individuals, but also democratic institutions.ud
机译:除了直接损失外,恐怖主义还造成恐惧和不安全感,如果认为民主机构不足以应对威胁,可能会减少对民主机构的支持,并增加对军事政府的支持。为了调查这种可能性,我们使用了巴基斯坦的数据,该国自2001年以来恐怖主义活动呈指数级增长。利用有关民主态度的个人级别 uddata和有关恐怖袭击的地区级别信息,我们记录了持续暴露于恐怖主义的情况(以及更广泛的看法)暴力)与对民主价值观的低得多的支持有关。结果对于包含不同的控件集,基于性别,城市化和教育的划分样本以及内生性考虑因素而言是可靠的。通过从北阿富汗边界的距离以及宗教信仰的分化来衡量恐怖主义和暴力行为,表明所记录的相关性反映了因果关系。因此,恐怖主义不仅威胁个人,而且威胁民主机构。

著录项

  • 作者

    Ur Rehman Faiz; Vanin Paolo;

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  • 年度 2015
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  • 原文格式 PDF
  • 正文语种 en
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