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Unit root inference for non-stationary linear processes driven by infinite variance innovations

机译:由无限方差创新驱动的非平稳线性过程的单位根推断

摘要

The contribution of this paper is two-fold. First, we derive the asymptotic null distribution of the familiar augmented Dickey-Fuller [ADF] statistics in the case where the shocks follow a linear process driven by in…nite variance innovations. We show that these distributions are free of serial correlation nuisance parameters but depend on the tail index of the in…nite variance process. These distributions are shown to coincide with the corresponding results for the case where the shocks follow a …nite autoregression, provided the lag length in the ADF regression satis…es the same o(T1=3) rate condition as is required in the …nite variance case. In addition, we establish the rates of consistency and (where they exist) the asymptotic distributions of the ordinary least squares sieve estimates from the ADF regression. Given the dependence of their null distributions on the unknown tail index, our second contribution is to explore sieve wild bootstrap implementations of the ADF tests. Under the assumption of symmetry, we demonstrate the asymptotic validity (bootstrap consistency) of the wild bootstrap ADF tests. This is done by establishing that (conditional on the data) the wild bootstrap ADF statistics attain the same limiting distribution as that of the original ADF statistics taken conditional on the magnitude of the innovations.
机译:本文的贡献是双重的。首先,在冲击遵循由固有方差创新驱动的线性过程的情况下,我们推导了熟悉的增强Dickey-Fuller [ADF]统计量的渐近零分布。我们表明,这些分布没有序列相关扰动参数,但取决于in…nite方差过程的尾部索引。如果ADF回归中的滞后长度满足…nite所需的相同的o(T1 = 3)速率条件,则表明这些分布与冲击遵循“ nite自回归”的情况下的相应结果一致。方差情况。此外,我们建立了ADF回归的普通最小二乘筛估计值的一致率和(在存在的情况下)渐近分布。给定它们的零分布对未知尾部索引的依赖性,我们的第二个贡献是探索ADF测试的筛分野生引导程序实现。在对称性的假设下,我们证明了野生自举ADF测试的渐近有效性(自举一致性)。这是通过确定(基于数据)野生引导ADF统计数据达到与原始ADF统计数据相同的限制分布而得出的,而原始ADF统计数据则取决于创新的规模。

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