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Libéralisation financière, ouverture politique et croissance économique dans les pays en voie de développement

机译:发展中国家的金融自由化,政治开放和经济增长

摘要

The purpose of this thesis is to study the relationship between financial integration, political openness and growth in developing countries. In fact, political reforms and financial liberalization was the slogan of the international financial institutions which conditioned the granting of financial aid to the implementation of certain reforms in favor of democracy and more respect of human rights in addition to more financial integration. Our empirical investigation covers a sample of 108 developing countries between 1984 and 2008 and uses both static and dynamic panel data estimation in addition to the new causality test in heterogeneous panel. Our results show that financial liberalization positively impact growth directly and through indirect channel like Investment, trade and macroeconomic stability. It also favors financial development and promotes human capital. Even though, democracy doesn’t directly influence growth, it has an indirect positive effect on it through favoring international trade in addition to financial and human capital development. Otherwise, political instability negatively affects growth directly but also indirectly through decreasing investment and increasing inflation. Finally, our results suggest the existence of a bidirectional relationship between financial integration and democracy. In the other side, the relationship between financial integration and political stability is more specific and depend upon regionals characteristics of the country.
机译:本文的目的是研究发展中国家的金融一体化,政治开放与增长之间的关系。实际上,政治改革和金融自由化是国际金融机构的口号,其条件是为实施某些改革提供财政援助,以促进民主和更多地尊重人权,并加强金融一体化。我们的实证研究涵盖了1984年至2008年之间的108个发展中国家的样本,除了在异构面板中使用新的因果关系检验之外,还使用了静态和动态面板数据估计。我们的结果表明,金融自由化直接或通过间接渠道(如投资,贸易和宏观经济稳定)对增长产生积极影响。它还有利于金融发展并促进人力资本。即使民主并不会直接影响增长,它也会通过促进金融和人力资本发展之外的国际贸易而对其产生间接的积极影响。否则,政治动荡直接或间接地通过减少投资和增加通货膨胀对增长产生负面影响。最后,我们的结果表明,金融一体化与民主之间存在双向关系。另一方面,金融一体化与政治稳定之间的关系更为具体,并取决于该国的区域特征。

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  • 作者

    Lajili Oualid;

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  • 年度 2015
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  • 原文格式 PDF
  • 正文语种 fr
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