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The long run relationship between stock prices and goods prices: new evidence from panel cointegration

机译:股票价格与商品价格之间的长期关系:面板协整的新证据

摘要

We examine the long run relationship between stock prices and goods prices to gauge whether stock market investment canudhedge against inflation. Data from sixteen OECD countries over the period 1970-2006 are used. We account for different inflation regimes with the use of sub-sample regressions, whilst maintaining the power of tests in small sample sizes by combining time-series data across our sample countries in a panel unit root and panel cointegration econometric framework. The evidence supports a positive long-run relationship between goods prices and stock prices with the estimated goods price coefficient being in line with the generalized Fisher hypothesis.
机译:我们研究了股票价格和商品价格之间的长期关系,以评估股票市场投资是否可以对通货膨胀进行避险。使用了1970-2006年间来自16个经合组织国家的数据。我们通过使用子样本回归来解释不同的通货膨胀制度,同时通过在面板单位根和面板协整计量经济学框架中结合样本国家中的时间序列数据,在小样本规模中保持测试的力量。证据支持商品价格与股票价格之间存在长期长期正相关关系,估计商品价格系数与广义Fisher假设相符。

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