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Realized beta GARCH : a multivariate GARCH model with realized measures of volatility

机译:实现的beta GARCH:具有波动性度量的多元GARCH模型

摘要

We introduce a multivariate generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity (GARCH) model that incorporates realized measures of variances and covariances. Realized measures extract information about the current levels of volatilities and correlations from high-frequency data, which is particularly useful for modeling financial returns during periods of rapid changes in the underlying covariance structure. When applied to market returns in conjunction with returns on an individual asset, the model yields a dynamic model specification of the conditional regression coefficient that is known as the beta. We apply the model to a large set of assets and find the conditional betas to be far more variable than usually found with rolling-window regressions based exclusively on daily returns. In the empirical part of the paper, we examine the cross-sectional as well as the time variation of the conditional beta series during the financial crises.
机译:我们引入了一个多变量广义自回归条件异方差(GARCH)模型,该模型结合了方差和协方差的已实现度量。已实现的措施从高频数据中提取有关当前波动率和相关性水平的信息,这对于在基础协方差结构快速变化的时期对财务收益进行建模特别有用。当与单个资产的收益一起应用于市场收益时,该模型将产生条件回归系数的动态模型规格,即beta。我们将模型应用于大量资产,并发现条件beta的可变性远大于仅基于每日收益的滚动窗口回归所发现的可变性。在本文的实证部分中,我们研究了金融危机期间条件beta序列的横截面以及时间变化。

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