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Visualization-based decision support for value-driven system design

机译:基于可视化的决策支持,用于价值驱动的系统设计

摘要

In the past 50 years, the military, communication, and transportation systems that permeate our world, have grown exponentially in size and complexity. The development and production of these systems has seen ballooning costs and increased risk. This is particularly critical for the aerospace industry. The inability to deal with growing system complexity is a crippling force in the advancement of engineered systems. Value-Driven Design represents a paradigm shift in the field of design engineering that has potential to help counteract this trend. The philosophy of Value-Driven Design places the desires of the stakeholder at the forefront of the design process to capture true preferences and reveal system alternatives that were never previously thought possible.Modern aerospace engineering design problems are large, complex, and involve multiple levels of decision-making. To find the best design, the decision-maker is often required to analyze hundreds or thousands of combinations of design variables and attributes. Visualization can be used to support these decisions, by communicating large amounts of data in a meaningful way. Understanding the design space, the subsystem relationships, and the design uncertainties is vital to the advancement of Value-Driven Design as an accepted process for the development of more effective, efficient, robust, and elegant aerospace systems.This research investigates the use of multi-dimensional data visualization tools to support decision-making under uncertainty during the Value-Driven Design process. A satellite design system comprising a satellite, ground station, and launch vehicle is used to demonstrate effectiveness of new visualization methods to aid in decision support during complex aerospace system design. These methods are used to facilitate the exploration of the feasible design space by representing the value impact of system attribute changes and comparing the results of multi-objective optimization formulations with a Value-Driven Design formulation. The visualization methods are also used to assist in the decomposition of a value function, by representing attribute sensitivities to aid with trade-off studies. Lastly, visualization is used to enable greater understanding of the subsystem relationships, by displaying derivative-based couplings, and the design uncertainties, through implementation of utility theory. The use of these visualization methods is shown to enhance the decision-making capabilities of the designer by granting them a more holistic view of the complex design space.
机译:在过去的50年中,渗透到我们世界中的军事,通讯和运输系统的规模和复杂性呈指数增长。这些系统的开发和生产已经使成本激增并增加了风险。这对于航空航天业尤其重要。无法应对不断增长的系统复杂性是工程系统发展的一大推动力。以价值为导向的设计代表了设计工程领域的范式转变,有可能帮助抵消这一趋势。价值驱动设计的哲学将利益相关者的需求置于设计过程的最前沿,以捕捉真正的偏好并揭示出以前从未想到过的系统替代方案。现代航空工程设计问题既大,复杂又涉及多个层次。做决定。为了找到最佳设计,通常需要决策者分析数百或数千个设计变量和属性的组合。通过以有意义的方式传递大量数据,可视化可用于支持这些决策。理解设计空间,子系统关系和设计不确定性对于价值驱动设计的发展至关重要,因为价值驱动设计是开发更有效,高效,强大和优雅的航空航天系统的公认过程。维数据可视化工具,可在价值驱动设计过程中支持不确定性下的决策。包含卫星,地面站和运载火箭的卫星设计系统用于演示新的可视化方法的有效性,以帮助复杂的航空系统设计过程中进行决策支持。这些方法用于表示系统属性更改的价值影响,并将多目标优化公式的结果与“价值驱动的设计”公式进行比较,从而有助于探索可行的设计空间。可视化方法还用于通过表示属性敏感度来帮助权衡研究,以协助价值函数的分解。最后,通过显示效用理论,通过显示基于导数的耦合和设计不确定性,可以使用可视化来更好地理解子系统的关系。通过显示这些可视化方法,可以使他们对复杂的设计空间有更全面的了解,从而增强了设计师的决策能力。

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  • 作者

    Tibor Elliott;

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  • 年度 2014
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  • 原文格式 PDF
  • 正文语种 en
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