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A generalized multiple-try version of the Reversible Jump algorithm

机译:可逆跳转算法的广义多次尝试版本

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摘要

The Reversible Jump algorithm is one of the most widely used Markov chain Monte Carlo algorithms for Bayesian estimation and model selection. A generalized multiple-try version of this algorithm is proposed. The algorithm is based on drawing several proposals at each step and randomly choosing one of them on the basis of weights (selection probabilities) that may be arbitrarily chosen. Among the possible choices, a method is employed which is based on selection probabilities depending on a quadratic approximation of the posterior distribution. Moreover, the implementation of the proposed algorithm for challenging model selection problems, in which the quadratic approximation is not feasible, is considered. The resulting algorithm leads to a gain in efficiency with respect to the Reversible Jump algorithm, and also in terms of computational effort. The performance of this approach is illustrated for real examples involving a logistic regression model and a latent class model.
机译:可逆跳转算法是用于贝叶斯估计和模型选择的最广泛使用的马尔可夫链蒙特卡罗算法之一。提出了该算法的广义多尝试版本。该算法基于在每个步骤中绘制几个建议,并根据可以任意选择的权重(选择概率)随机选择其中一个建议。在可能的选择中,采用一种基于选择概率的方法,该选择概率取决于后验分布的二次近似。此外,考虑了提出的算法的挑战性模型选择问题的实现,其中二次逼近是不可行的。相对于可逆跳转算法,所得算法提高了效率,并且在计算工作方面也得到了提高。对于涉及逻辑回归模型和潜在类模型的实际示例,说明了此方法的性能。

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