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Application of Monte Carlo techniques with delay-time analysis to assess maintenance and inspection policies for marine systems

机译:蒙特卡洛技术与延迟时间分析的应用,以评估船舶系统的维护和检查政策

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摘要

This paper presents a methodology applying Monte Carlo methods with delay-time analysis to test the effects of scheduled maintenance and inspection actions on factors affecting the operational efficiency of a marine system which is subject to degradation. The aim is to demonstrate how a Monte Carlo model incorporated into delay time analysis can be used to predict the transition behaviour of a system under analysis. The model presented in this paper focuses on the effects on system failure probability and downtime of various maintenance and inspection policies. The impact on spare part requirements is also investigated.
机译:本文提出了一种将蒙特卡洛方法与延迟时间分析相结合的方法,以测试定期维护和检查措施对影响退化的船舶系统的运行效率的因素的影响。目的是演示如何将结合到延迟时间分析中的蒙特卡洛模型用于预测所分析系统的过渡行为。本文介绍的模型着重于各种维护和检查策略对系统故障概率和停机时间的影响。还研究了对备件要求的影响。

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