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Gender and the business cycle: an analysis of labour markets in the US and UK

机译:性别与商业周期:对美国和英国劳动力市场的分析

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摘要

Starting from an improved understanding of the relationship between gender labour market stocks and the business cycle, we analyse the contributing role of flows in the US and UK. Focusing on the post 2008 recession period, the subsequent greater rise in male unemployment can mostly be explained by a less cyclical response of flows between employment and unemployment for women, especially the entry into unemployment. Across gender and country, the inactivity rate is generally not sensitive to the state of the economy. However, a flows based analysis reveals a greater importance of the participation margin over the cycle. Changes in the rates of flow between unemployment and inactivity can each account for around 0.8-1.1 percentage points of the rise in US male and female unemployment rates during the latest downturn. For the UK, although the participation flow to unemployment similarly contributed to the increase of the female unemployment rate, this was not the case for men. The countercyclical flow rate from inactivity to employment was also more significant for women, especially in the US, where it accounted for approximately all of the fall in employment, compared with only 40% for men.
机译:从对性别劳动力市场存量与商业周期之间关系的更好理解开始,我们分析了在美国和英国的资金流动的贡献作用。着眼于2008年后的衰退期,男性失业率随后出现更大幅度的上升,主要可以解释为妇女就业与失业之间的流动(特别是进入失业状况)的周期性响应较慢。在整个性别和国家中,闲置率通常对经济状况不敏感。但是,基于流量的分析揭示了整个周期内参与保证金的重要性。在最近的经济低迷时期,失业和不活跃之间的流动率变化各自可导致美国男女失业率上升的约0.8-1.1个百分点。对于英国而言,尽管参与失业的人数同样导致了女性失业率的上升,但男性却并非如此。从不活动到就业的反周期流动率对女性也更为显着,尤其是在美国,在美国,这大约占了就业率下降的全部,而男性仅为40%。

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