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Detection of recent changes in climate using meteorological data from south-eastern Bangladesh

机译:使用来自孟加拉国东南部的气象数据发现气候的最新变化

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摘要

Analysis of meteorological records from four stations (Chittagong, Cox’s Bazar, Rangamati, Sitakunda) in south-eastern Bangladesh show coherent changes in climate over the past three decades. Mean maximum daily temperatures have increased between 1980 and 2013 by ca. 0.4 to 0.6°C per decade, with changes of comparable magnitude in individual seasons. The increase in mean maximum daily temperature is associated with decreased cloud cover and wind speed, particularly in the pre- and post-monsoon seasons. During these two seasons, the correlation between changes in maximum temperature and clouds is between -0.5 and -0.7; the correlation with wind speed is weaker although similar values are obtained in some seasons. Changes in mean daily minimum (and hence mean) temperature differ between the northern and southern part of the basin: northern stations show a decrease in mean daily minimum temperature during the post-monsoon season of between 0.2 and 0.5°C per decade while southern stations show an increase of ca. 0.1 to 0.4°C per decade during the pre-monsoon and monsoon seasons. In contrast to the significant changes in temperature, there is no trend in mean or total precipitation at any station. However, there is a significant increase in the number of rain days at the northern sites during the monsoon season, with an increase per decade of 3 days in Sitakunda and 7 days at Rangamati. These climate changes could have a significant impact on the hydrology of the Halda Basin, which supplies water to Chittagong and is the major pisciculture centre in Bangladesh.
机译:对孟加拉国东南部四个站点(吉大港,考克斯巴扎尔,兰加马蒂,西塔昆达)的气象记录进行的分析显示,过去三十年来气候变化是连贯的。在1980年至2013年之间,平均最高每日气温升高了约1200摄氏度。每十年0.4至0.6°C,各个季节的变化幅度相当。平均最高每日温度的升高与云层的覆盖和风速的降低有关,特别是在季风前后。在这两个季节中,最高温度和云量变化之间的相关性在-0.5和-0.7之间;尽管在某些季节获得了相似的值,但与风速的相关性较弱。流域北部和南部的平均每日最低温度变化(因此,平均温度)有所不同:北部站点在季风后季节期间的平均每日最低温度下降了每十年0.2至0.5°C,而南部站点显示增加季风前和季风季节每十年0.1至0.4°C。与温度的显着变化相反,任何站点的平均降水或总降水都没有趋势。但是,季风季节北部站点的降雨天数显着增加,锡塔昆达每10年增加3天,兰加马蒂每7天增加10天。这些气候变化可能会对Halda盆地的水文学产生重大影响,该盆地为吉大港供水,是孟加拉国的主要养鱼中心。

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