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The political geography of fiscal transfers: empirical evidence using data on Belgium.

机译:财政转移的政治地理:使用比利时数据的经验证据。

摘要

SummaryI analyse the relationship between the geographic distribution of the government budget on the one hand and the geographic distribution of political power and government popularity on the other hand in Belgium. In a 1st chapter I find evidence that a Belgian federal electoral district receives more social spending and/or pays less income taxes with every federal minister having been elected in that district. In a 2nd chapter I present a method for calculating net fiscal transfers between the 3 regions of Belgium resulting from interest payments on the federal debt, and I calculate that this method results in considerably larger net fiscal transfers from the Flemish region to Francophone Belgium than previously calculated. In a 3rd chapter I do find statistically robust evidence that votes in favour of political parties forming the federal government increase less in the Flemish region than in Francophone Belgium if social spending increases or income taxation decreases. This could be because Flemish voters are not or hardly aware that the ensuing increase in the federal debt increases net fiscal transfers from Flanders to Francophone Belgium. In a 4th chapter I find evidence for a number of political parties that intergovernmental grants to a municipality located in the Brussels region increase (decrease) if this municipality is governed (not governed) by the same political party as the subsidising government(s). In a 5th chapter I find evidence that a Belgian supra-local government increases its deficit if its number of ministers increases. This causal link however is not statistically robust for public expenditures.
机译:总结我一方面分析了比利时政府预算的地理分布,另一方面又分析了政治权力和政府知名度的地理分布之间的关系。在第一章中,我发现有证据表明,比利时联邦选举区每当选一名联邦部长,就会获得更多社会支出和/或缴纳更少的所得税。在第二章中,我介绍了一种计算联邦债务利息产生的比利时3个地区之间的净财政转移的方法,我计算出这种方法导致从佛兰德地区到比利时法语国家的净财政转移比以前大得多计算。在第3章中,我确实找到了统计上有力的证据,表明如果社会支出增加或所得税减少,则佛兰芒地区对组成联邦政府的政党的投票增加的票数比法语地区的比利时增加的票数少。这可能是因为佛兰德选民不知道或几乎没有意识到随之而来的联邦债务增加会增加从佛兰德斯到比利时法语国家的净财政转移。在第4章中,我发现了一些政党的证据,如果该市由与补贴政府相同的政党执政(而非执政),则对位于布鲁塞尔地区的某市政府的政府间拨款会增加(减少)。在第5章中,我发现有证据表明,比利时的超地方政府如果部长人数增加,赤字就会增加。但是,这种因果关系对于公共支出在统计上并不稳健。

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    Jennes Geert;

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  • 年度 2015
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