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The evolutionary time machine: using dormant propagules to forecast how populations can adapt to changing environments

机译:进化时间机器:使用休眠繁殖体来预测种群如何适应不断变化的环境

摘要

Evolutionary changes are determined by a complex assortment of ecological, demographic, and adaptive histories. Predicting how evolution will shape the genetic structures of populations coping with current (and future) environmental challenges has principally relied on investigations through space, in lieu of time, because long-term phenotypic and molecular data are scarce. Yet, dormant propagules in sediments, soils, and permafrost are convenient natural archives of population histories from which to trace adaptive trajectories along extended time periods. DNA sequence data obtained from these natural archives, combined with pioneering methods for analyzing both ecological and population genomic time-series data, are likely to provide predictive models to forecast evolutionary responses of natural populations to environmental changes resulting from natural and anthropogenic stressors, including climate change.
机译:进化的变化取决于生态,人口和适应历史的复杂组合。由于缺乏长期的表型和分子数据,因此预测进化将如何应对当前(以及未来)环境挑战的人口遗传结构主要依靠太空研究来代替时间。但是,沉积物,土壤和多年冻土中的休眠繁殖体是人口历史的便捷自然档案,从中可以追踪长时间内的适应轨迹。从这些自然档案中获得的DNA序列数据,再结合用于分析生态和种群基因组时间序列数据的开创性方法,可能会提供预测模型,以预测自然种群对自然和人为压力源(包括气候)导致的环境变化的进化响应更改。

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