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Agricultural Sector Analysis on Greenhouse Gas Emission Mitigation in the United States

机译:美国农业部门温室气体减排的分析

摘要

This dissertation analyzes the economic potential of agriculture to participate ingreenhouse gas emission mitigation efforts. Major agricultural mitigation strategies areincluded simultaneously to capture interactions. Results indicate that agriculture'scontribution to emission reduction may be substantial, but not sufficient to fulfill therequirements of the Kyoto Protocol, which are estimated to be in the neighborhood of700 million metric tons (MMT) of carbon equivalents by the year 2010. Even underextreme economic incentives, the annual emission reduction potential from U.S.agriculture does not exceed 300 MMT if including all carbon dioxide related strategies,or 400 MMT if also including carbon equivalent emission reductions of methane andnitrous oxide related strategies.Production of biomass feedstock for power plants, i.e. switch grass, becomes thedominating mitigation strategy for carbon saving incentives of $80 per ton of carbonequivalent and above. Lower incentives between $5 and $80 per metric ton of carbonequivalent lead to a complex mixture of various mitigation strategies involving reducedivfertilization, tillage, and irrigation; increased afforestation; and improved liquid manuremanagement. In addition to net emission reductions between 25 and 70 MMT of carbonequivalents, low carbon incentives involve substantial environmental gains through lesserosion and less nitrogen pollution.Empirical results from this dissertation show the importance of accounting forinterdependencies among mitigation strategies. The savings potential of mitigationstrategies examined individually may be considerably higher than it is under a jointanalysis. The findings also provide support for a new breed of combined environmentaland farm policy, which would replace costly individual programs aimed at variousenvironmental goals or to provide for fair farm incomes.
机译:本文分析了农业参与温室气体减排的经济潜力。同时包括主要的农业减缓战略,以捕获相互作用。结果表明,农业对减排的贡献可能很大,但不足以满足《京都议定书》的要求,据估计,到2010年,该要求的碳当量约为7亿公吨。激励措施,如果包括所有与二氧化碳有关的策略,美国农业的年度减排潜力不超过300 MMT,如果还包括与甲烷和一氧化二氮有关的策略的碳当量减排量,则不超过400 MMT。电厂生物质原料的生产,即转换草,成为每吨碳当量及以上80美元的碳减排奖励的主要缓解策略。每公吨碳当量5美元至80美元之间的较低激励措施导致各种减缓战略的复杂组合,包括减少施肥,耕种和灌溉;增加绿化;并改善了液体肥料管理。除了在25到70 MMT的碳当量之间净减少排放量外,低碳激励措施还包括通过减少侵蚀和减少氮污染来获得可观的环境收益。本论文的经验结果表明,考虑缓解策略之间的相互依赖性非常重要。单独研究缓解策略所产生的节省潜力可能要比联合分析中要高得多。研究结果还为新的环境与农场政策结合提供了支持,该政策将取代针对各种环境目标或提供公平农场收入的昂贵的个人计划。

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    Schneider Uwe A.;

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  • 年度 2000
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