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Risk Perception and Willingness to Pay for Removing Arsenic in Drinking Water

机译:去除饮用水中砷的风险感知和支付意愿

摘要

This thesis is concerned with (i) how to estimate the perceived mortality risk, (ii) how to calculate the welfare change of mortality risk reduction and (iii) whether ambiguity aversion influences subjects' treatment decision. This study is an important topic in environmental and resource economics, and the attempt to introduce ambiguity preference into the models might shed light on future research in nonmarket valuation.In this study, I estimate the economic value of reducing mortality risk relating to arsenic in drinking water employing contingent valuation in U.S. arsenic hot spots. Re-cent studies have shown that perceived risk is a more reliable variable than scientific assessments of risk when applied to interpret and predict individual's averting behavior. I am also interested in the confidence level of perceived risk, which was elicited and treated as the degree of risk ambiguity in this paper. I develop a formal parametric model to calculate the mean willingness to pay (WTP) for mortality risk reduction, and find weak evidence of ambiguity aversion.
机译:本文涉及(i)如何估计感知的死亡风险,(ii)如何计算降低死亡风险的福利变化,以及(iii)歧义厌恶是否影响受试者的治疗决策。这项研究是环境和资源经济学中的一个重要主题,尝试将歧义偏好引入模型中可能会为非市场估值的未来研究提供启示。在这项研究中,我估计降低与饮酒中砷有关的死亡风险的经济价值用水在美国砷热点地区采用或有估值。最近的研究表明,在用于解释和预测个人的避免行为时,感知风险比科学评估风险更可靠。我也对感知风险的置信度感兴趣,该置信度在本文中被引为风险歧义程度。我开发了一个正式的参数化模型来计算降低死亡风险的平均支付意愿(WTP),并发现模糊歧义的微弱证据。

著录项

  • 作者

    Chen Sihong;

  • 作者单位
  • 年度 2011
  • 总页数
  • 原文格式 PDF
  • 正文语种 en_US
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