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Hierarchical sales forecasting system for apparel companies and supply chains

机译:服装公司和供应链的分层销售预测系统

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摘要

The typical problems facing with apparel companies and supply chains are forecasting errors,because fashion markets are volatile and difficult to predict. For that reason, the abilityto develop accurate sales forecasts is critical in the industry. There are several researchstudies related to forecasting apparel goods, but very often only for one level. However,apparel companies and supply chains deal with a number of levels at which the forecastscould exist and require consistent forecasts at all of them. The paper presents a hierarchicalmiddle-term forecasting system designed for this purpose on the basis of a literature review.The system is built by the top-down forecasting approach and verified by means of a casestudy in a particular apparel company. The weaknesses of the system are identified duringdiscussion of the results acquired. A generalised concept of the ANN forecasting model isdesigned for elimination these weaknesses.
机译:服装公司和供应链面临的典型问题是预测错误,因为时装市场动荡且难以预测。因此,制定准确的销售预测的能力在行业中至关重要。有许多与预测服装商品有关的研究,但通常只有一个层次。但是,服装公司和供应链在许多层次上都可能存在预测,因此需要对它们进行一致的预测。本文在文献综述的基础上,提出了一种为此目的设计的分层中期预测系统,该系统是通过自上而下的预测方法构建的,并通过案例研究在特定服装公司中进行了验证。在讨论获得的结果时,可以确定系统的弱点。为消除这些弱点,设计了ANN预测模型的广义概念。

著录项

  • 作者

    Lenort Radim; Besta Petr;

  • 作者单位
  • 年度 2013
  • 总页数
  • 原文格式 PDF
  • 正文语种 en
  • 中图分类

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