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A Comparative Study of Technical Trading Strategies Using a Genetic Algorithm

机译:遗传算法技术交易策略的比较研究

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摘要

Traditional approaches to the study of technical analysis (TA) often focus on the performance of a single indicator, which seems to fall short in scope and depth. We use a genetic algorithm (GA) to optimize trading strategies in the three major Forex markets in order to ascertain the suitability of TA strategies and rules to achieve consistently superior returns, by comparing momentum, trend and breakout indicators. The indicators with the parameters generated through our GA consistently outperform the equivalent indicators by applying parameters commonly used by the trading industry. EUR/USD and GBP/USD markets have interesting return figures before trading costs. The inclusion of spreads and commissions weakens returns substantially, suggesting that under a more realistic set of assumptions these markets could be efficient. Trend indicators generate better outcomes and GBP/USD qualifies as the most profitable market. Different aggregate returns in different markets may be evidence of distinct maturation stages under an evolving efficiency market perspective. Our GA is able to search a wider solution space than traditional configurations and offers the possibility of recovering latent data, thus avoiding premature convergence.
机译:研究技术分析(TA)研究的传统方法往往专注于单个指标的性能,似乎在范围和深度下降。我们使用遗传算法(GA)来优化三大外汇市场的交易策略,以确定TA战略和规则的适用性,通过比较势头,趋势和突破指标来实现始终如一的卓越回报。通过我们的GA产生的参数的指标通过应用贸易行业常用的参数来始终如一地优于等效指标。在交易费用之前,EUR / USD和GBP / USD市场具有有趣的回报数据。纳入蔓延和委员会的包容削弱了返回大大,建议在更现实的假设下,这些市场可能是有效的。趋势指标产生更好的结果和GBP / USD资格作为最有利可图的市场。不同市场的不同总回报可能是在不断变化的效率市场视角下的明显成熟阶段的证据。我们的GA能够比传统配置搜索更广泛的解决方案空间,并提供恢复潜在数据的可能性,从而避免过早收敛。

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