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Total-Factor Energy Efficiency in BRI Countries: An Estimation Based on Three-Stage DEA Model

机译:BRI国家的全系能效率:基于三阶段DEA模型的估算

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摘要

The Belt and Road Initiative (BRI) is showing its great influence and leadership on the international energy cooperation. Based on the three-stage DEA model, total-factor energy efficiency (TFEE) in 35 BRI countries in 2015 was measured in this article. It shows that the three-stage DEA model could eliminate errors of environment variable and random, which made the result better than traditional DEA model. When environment variable errors and random errors were eliminated, the mean value of TFEE was declined. It demonstrated that TFEE of the whole sample group was overestimated because of external environment impacts and random errors. The TFEE indicators of high-income countries like South Korea, Singapore, Israel and Turkey are 1, which is in the efficiency frontier. The TFEE indicators of Russia, Saudi Arabia, Poland and China are over 0.8. And the indicators of Uzbekistan, Ukraine, South Africa and Bulgaria are in a low level. The potential of energy-saving and emissions reduction is great in countries with low TFEE indicators. Because of the gap in energy efficiency, it is necessary to distinguish different countries in the energy technology options, development planning and regulation in BRI countries.
机译:皮带和道路倡议(BRI)正在对国际能源合作表现出极大的影响力和领导力。根据三阶段的DEA模型,2015年35个BRI国家的全系能效(TFEE)是在本文中衡量的。它表明,三阶段DEA模型可以消除环境变量和随机的误差,这使得结果比传统的DEA模型更好。当环境变量错误和随机错误被淘汰时,TFEE的平均值被拒绝。它表明,由于外部环境影响和随机误差,整个样本组的TFEE高估了。韩国,新加坡,以色列和土耳其等高收入国家的TFEE指标是1,这是在效率前沿。俄罗斯,沙特阿拉伯,波兰和中国的TFEE指标超过0.8。以及乌兹别克斯坦,乌克兰,南非和保加利亚的指标处于低位。在TFEE指标低的国家,节能和排放减少的潜力是伟大的。由于能源效率的差距,有必要区分不同国家在能源技术方面的选择,发展规划和法规。

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