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Analysis of truck-related crashes of freeways in China

机译:中国高速公路与卡车相关撞车的分析

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摘要

Truck-related crashes result in tremendous lives and property loss and become a serious safety issue in China. The goal of this article is to identify the influential factors for severity of truck-related crashes using data from Jingjintang freeways in China and to design an ordered probit model to explore their relationship. Records including crashes, traffic flow attributes, and geometric design features ranging from 2009 to 2012 were collected from Jingjintang freeway. Crashes are divided into three severity levels: slight injury, injury, and fatal injury. The injury crashes is ranking the first place occupying 64.37%. Truck-related crashes are likely to occur when truck percentage is around 20% and 80%. The speed of traffic flow decreases with the more appearance of trucks. The ordered probit model is developed to estimate the impacts of influential factors on injury severity of truck-related crashes. Marginal effects for each level of injury severity are calculated. The results reveal that truck-involving crashes are highly sensitive to factors such as time of day, truck percentage, average slope, operating speed, speed difference, and exposure variable. The average slope of road segment and speed gaps has the greatest impact on all severity levels of crashes.
机译:与卡车相关的崩溃导致巨大的生命和财产损失,并成为中国的严重安全问题。这篇文章的目的是确定影响因素为使用来自中国京津塘高速公路的数据卡车相关的崩溃的严重程度和设计的有序概率模型来探索他们的关系。从京宫高速公路收集了2009年至2012年的崩溃,交通流量属性和几何设计特征的记录。崩溃分为三个严重性水平:轻微伤害,伤害和致命伤害。伤害坠毁是排名第一个占据64.37%的地方。当卡车百分比约为20%和80%时,可能会出现卡车相关的崩溃。交通流量的速度随着卡车的出现越大。开发了有序概率模型,以估计有影响力因素对卡车相关碰撞的严重程度的影响。计算每种损伤严重程度的边缘效应。结果表明,卡车涉及的崩溃对因子,卡车百分比,平均坡度,运行速度,速度,速度和曝光变量等因素非常敏感。道路段和速度间隙的平均坡度对所有严重程度的撞车程度具有最大的影响。

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