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The Great Mortgaging: Housing Finance, Crises, and Business Cycles

机译:伟大的抵押:住房融资,危机和商业周期

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摘要

This paper unveils a new resource for macroeconomic research: a long-run dataset covering disaggregated bank credit for 17 advanced economies since 1870. The new data show that the share of mortgages on banks' balance sheets doubled in the course of the 20th century, driven by a sharp rise of mortgage lending to households. Household debt to asset ratios have risen substantially in many countries. Financial stability risks have been increasingly linked to real estate lending booms which are typically followed by deeper recessions and slower recoveries. Housing finance has come to play a central role in the modern macroeconomy.
机译:本文揭示了一种用于宏观经济研究的新资源:一个长期数据集,涵盖自1870年以来17个发达经济体的分类银行信贷。新数据表明,在20世纪的驱动下,抵押贷款在银行资产负债表中的份额翻了一番对家庭的抵押贷款急剧增加。在许多国家,家庭债务与资产的比率已大大增加。金融稳定风险已经越来越多地与房地产借贷热潮联系在一起,通常伴随着更深的衰退和更慢的复苏。住房金融已在现代宏观经济中发挥中心作用。

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