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INFORMATION AND COGNITIVE FORCE «FORMATTING» OF THE RULING ELITE SUBJECTS OF THE MILITARY - POLITICAL SITUATION IN THE «TRANSITION PERIOD»

机译:信息和认知力量«格式化»军事政治局势«过渡期»

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摘要

Analysis and forecast for development of possible means of power politics in the transition period until 2024 is of immense importance not only for the military development plans and the future of defense procurement (and therefore the country's military expenditures), but to any conscious changes in the military art. First of all we are talking about the strategy of the states that directly depend on the means of reference as armed and unarmed political power struggle. This is a fundamental position of political and military science well-known for a long time [Shaposhnikov, 2016].It is also clear that not only currently there are radical changes in the priorities of the use of certain power tools, you have to select the most preferable (least risky, more effective and less costly) force politicians from all existing and constantly updated huge set of tools. But this specificity has been observed before, for example, with the advent of nuclear weapons and their means of delivery, when it became possible to achieve strategic objectives directly without the consistent achievement of tactical results.Moreover, the choice of the most effective military tools in the era of nuclear weapons was raised repeatedly and it was natural in the USSR and in the West during the last century. And, I would emphasize, not only - and maybe not so much - of the means of armed struggle (AMSE), as of force political leverage in general - economic, informational, political, diplomatic, etc.But in the modern transition period (2014-2025), these processes have become not only very dynamic, but frankly destabilizing, ignoring previous agreements on compliance with international security and strategic stability, and simple traditional international law and political communication.
机译:在过渡时期到2024年可能导致权力政治发展方法的分析和预测不仅对军事发展计划和国防采购的未来(以及该国的军事支出),而且对任何有意识的变化军事艺术。首先,我们正在谈论各国的策略直接取决于武装和非武装政治权力斗争的职权手段。这是长期以来闻名的政治和军事科学的基本地位[Shaposhnikov,2016]。也很明显,目前目前在使用某些电动工具的优先级时不仅存在激进的变化,您必须选择来自所有现有的和不断更新大量工具的最优选的(最小冒险,更有效,更低的成本更低)的力度。但是,这种特殊性在例如核武器的出现之前已经观察到,当时它可以直接实现战略目标而无法实现战术结果的战略目标.Oore,选择最有效的军事工具在核武器时代,反复提出,它在苏联和西部在上世纪西方很自然。而且,我不仅要强调 - 也许不是那么多 - 武装斗争(AMSE)的手段,因为在普通经济,信息,政治,外交等方面的力量政治杠杆。但在现代过渡期间( 2014 - 2015年),这些过程不仅变得非常动态,而且坦率地稳定,忽视了以前的符合国际安全和战略稳定,以及简单的传统国际法和政治沟通。

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    A.I. Podberezkin;

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  • 年度 2019
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  • 原文格式 PDF
  • 正文语种 rus;eng
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