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Comparing Simulation Output Accuracy of Discrete Event and Agent Based Models: A Quantitative Approach

机译:基于离散事件和基于主体的模型的模拟输出精度比较:一种定量方法

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摘要

In our research we investigate the output accuracy of discrete event simulation models and agent based simulation models when studying human centric complex systems. In this paper we focus on human reactive behaviour as it is possible in both modelling approaches to implement human reactive behaviour in the model by using standard methods. As a case study we have chosen the retail sector, and here in particular the operations of the fitting room in the women wear department of a large UK department store. In our case study we looked at ways of determining the efficiency of implementing new management policies for the fitting room operation through modelling the reactive behaviour of staff and customers of the department. First, we have carried out a validation experiment in which we compared the results from our models to the performance of the real system. This experiment also allowed us to establish differences in output accuracy between the two modelling methods. In a second step a multi-scenario experiment was carried out to study the behaviour of the models when they are used for the purpose of operational improvement. Overall we have found that for our case study example both, discrete event simulation and agent based simulation have the same potential to support the investigation into the efficiency of implementing new management policies.
机译:在我们的研究中,当研究以人为中心的复杂系统时,我们研究离散事件仿真模型和基于代理的仿真模型的输出精度。在本文中,我们将重点放在人的反应性行为上,因为这两种建模方法都可以使用标准方法在模型中实现人的反应性行为。作为案例研究,我们选择了零售部门,特别是在英国一家大型百货公司的女装部门的试衣间。在我们的案例研究中,我们研究了通过对部门员工和客户的反应行为进行建模来确定实施试衣间新管理策略效率的方法。首先,我们进行了一个验证实验,在该实验中,我们将模型的结果与实际系统的性能进行了比较。该实验还使我们能够确定两种建模方法之间输出精度的差异。第二步,进行了多方案实验,研究了模型用于操作改进目的时的行为。总体而言,我们发现对于我们的案例研究示例,离散事件模拟和基于代理的模拟都具有相同的潜力来支持对实施新管理策略效率的调查。

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