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System Dynamics Simulation of Large-Scale Generation System for Designing Wind Power Policy in China

机译:中国风力电力政策大型发电系统的系统动力学仿真

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摘要

This paper focuses on the impacts of renewable energy policy on a large-scale power generation system, including thermal power, hydropower, and wind power generation. As one of the most important clean energy, wind energy has been rapidly developed in the world. But in recent years there is a serious waste of wind power equipment and investment in China leading to many problems in the industry from wind power planning to its integration. One way overcoming the difficulty is to analyze the influence of wind power policy on a generation system. This paper builds a system dynamics (SD) model of energy generation to simulate the results of wind energy generation policies based on a complex system. And scenario analysis method is used to compare the effectiveness and efficiency of these policies. The case study shows that the combinations of lower portfolio goal and higher benchmark price and those of higher portfolio goal and lower benchmark price have large differences in both effectiveness and efficiency. On the other hand, the combinations of uniformly lower or higher portfolio goal and benchmark price have similar efficiency, but different effectiveness. Finally, an optimal policy combination can be chosen on the basis of policy analysis in the large-scale power system.
机译:本文重点介绍可再生能源政策对大型发电系统的影响,包括火电,水电和风力发电。作为最重要的清洁能源之一,风能在世界上迅速发展。但近年来,风力设备的严重浪费了中国的投资导致行业中的许多问题从风电规划到其整合。一种克服难度的一种方式是分析风力政策对一代系统的影响。本文构建了一个系统动态(SD)能源模型,以模拟基于复杂系统的风能产生策略结果。和场景分析方法用于比较这些政策的有效性和效率。案例研究表明,较低的投资组合目标和更高的基准价格以及更高的投资组合目标和较低的基准价格的组合具有很大的效率和效率。另一方面,均匀较低或更高的投资组合目标和基准价格的组合具有相似的效率,但有效性不同。最后,可以根据大型电力系统中的政策分析选择最佳政策组合。

著录项

  • 作者

    Linna Hou;

  • 作者单位
  • 年度 2015
  • 总页数
  • 原文格式 PDF
  • 正文语种 eng
  • 中图分类

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