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Passenger Wait Time Perceptions at Bus Stops: Empirical Results and Impact on Evaluating Real - Time Bus Arrival Information

机译:乘客等待时间在公交车站上的看法:经验结果和对评估实时总线到货信息的影响

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摘要

This study quantifies the relationship between perceived and actual waiting times experienced by passengers awaiting the arrival of a bus at a bus stop. Understanding such a relationship would be useful in quantifying the value of providing realtime information to passengers on the time until the next bus is expected to arrive at a bus stop. Data on perceived and actual passenger waiting times, along with socioeconomic characteristics, were collected at bus stops where no real-time bus arrival information is provided, and relationships between perceived and actual waiting times are estimated. The results indicate that passengers do perceive time to be greater than the actual amount of time waited. However, the hypothesis that the rate of change of perceived time does not vary with respect to the actual waiting time could not be rejected (over a range of 3 to 15 minutes). Assuming that a passenger’s perceived waiting time is equal to the actual time when presented with accurate real-time bus arrival information, the value of the eliminated additional time is assessed in the form of reduced vehicle hours per day resulting from a longer headway that produces the same mean passenger waiting time. The eliminated additional time is also assessed in the form of uncertainty in the headway resulting in the same extra waiting time. Naturally, such benefits of passenger information can only be confirmed when the actual effect of information on the perception of waiting time is quantified.
机译:本研究通过量化乘客等待公交车在公交车站的到来经历感知和实际的等待时间之间的关系。了解这种关系将是量化到乘客提供的时间实时信息,直到下一个公交车有望在巴士站到达的价值是有用的。数据对感知和实际的乘客等待时间,随着社会经济特征一起,在公交车收集站是不提供实时的公交车到站信息,和感知和实际的等待时间之间的关系进行估计。结果表明,乘客做感知时间要大于实际的时间量等待。然而,这一假设的感知时间变化率不与相对于实际等待时间变化不能被拒绝(在一定范围内的3至15分钟)。假设当与精确的实时总线到达信息呈现的乘客的被察觉的等待时间等于实际时间,所消除的额外时间的值以每天减少车辆小时从产生的更长的进展而产生的形式进行评估相同的平均乘客等待时间。所消除的额外时间还评估了在导致相同的额外等待时间的进展不确定性的形式。当然,乘客信息,这样的好处只能当信息的等待时间感知的实际效果进行量化证实。

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