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Public and Private Infrastructure Investment and Economic Growth in Pakistan: An Aggregate and Disaggregate Analysis

机译:巴基斯坦的公共和私人基础设施投资和经济增长:汇总和分解分析

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摘要

This study investigates the relationship between infrastructure investment and economic growth at the aggregate and sectoral levels, namely, the industrial, agriculture, and services sectors for Pakistan over the period from 1972 to 2015. In contrast to earlier literature, we make a comparative analysis of the different composition of infrastructure investments, including public versus private investment and infrastructure investment in sub-sectors such as in power, roads, and telecommunication sectors. The long-run relationship is estimated using fully modified ordinary least squares (FMOLS) to address the problem of reverse causality. The main conclusion of this study is that both public and private infrastructure investments have positive but different effects on economic growth. In other words, the marginal productivities of private and public infrastructure investments differ across the different sectors of the economy. In most of the cases, public infrastructure investment has a larger impact on economic growth than private infrastructure investment. Two important policy implications emerge from this study, as follows: (1) The different elasticity estimates can be used by policy makers to quantify the impact of policies targeted at the specific sector and (2) the government should develop an enabled policy environment to attract private investment, with the consideration of structural characteristics of the various sectors. The involvement of the private sector in the provision of infrastructure would help to control the tight budgetary situation.
机译:本研究调查了1972年至2015年的基础设施投资和经济增长的基础设施投资和经济增长之间的关系,即在1972年至2015年的一段时间内。与早期文献相比,我们进行了比较分析不同的基础设施投资组成,包括公众与私人投资和基础设施投资,如电力,道路和电信部门。使用完全修改的普通最小二乘(FMOL)来估计长期关系来解决反向因果关系的问题。本研究的主要结论是,公共和私人基础设施投资都对经济增长具有正影响而且不同的影响。换句话说,私人和公共基础设施投资的边际生产力在经济的不同部门方面不同。在大多数情况下,公共基础设施投资对经济增长的影响大于私人基础设施投资。从本研究中出现了两项重要的政策影响,如下:(1)决策者可以使用不同的弹性估计量来量化针对特定部门的政策的影响,并(2)政府应制定能够制定支持的政策环境吸引私人投资,考虑到各部门的结构特征。私营部门参与提供基础设施将有助于控制严格的预算局面。

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  • 作者

    Muhammad Javid;

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  • 年度 2019
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  • 原文格式 PDF
  • 正文语种 eng
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