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Project cost prediction model using principal component regression for public building projects in Nigeria

机译:使用主成分回归的尼日利亚公共建筑项目的项目成本预测模型

摘要

Major problem in Nigeria construction industry is that building contracts are completed atudsums much higher than estimated cost, hence the need to develop predictive cost modeludthat capture factors affecting project cost using principal components regression, throughudset objectives: to identify factors contributing to project cost; examine the importance of theudfactors and develop cost predictive model. Literature review on the study indicated thatudnature of clients, professional involved in a project and their decision regarding design,udfunction, duration, technology and implementation have significant effect on the overalludproject cost. Data for the study are obtained through random sampling of public buildingudprojects completed in Nigeria after 1995. The study identifies six most significant factors toudproject cost among the design related variables as: Level of design complexity; level ofudconstruction complexity; level of technological advancement; percentage of repetitiveudelement; presence of special issues and scope of work. Three factors among time/costudrelated factors as Importance for project to be delivered; time allowed by the client and hisudrepresentative for bid evaluation; need for the project to be completed. Client, consultantudand contractor’s experience on similar project; adequacy of contractor’s plants andudequipments are most significant among project parties experience related factors. Theudselected factors were used for cost predictive model.
机译:尼日利亚建筑业的主要问题是,建筑合同的完工成本 udsum远高于估算成本,因此需要开发预测性成本模型 ud,以便通过 udset目标通过主成分回归来捕获影响项目成本的因素,从而确定 ud目的工程成本;检查因素的重要性并开发成本预测模型。该研究的文献综述表明,客户的姓名,参与项目的专业人员及其在设计,功能,工期,技术和实施方面的决定对项目总成本有重大影响。该研究的数据是通过对1995年后在尼日利亚完成的公共建筑 udproject项目进行随机抽样而获得的。该研究确定了与设计相关的变量中 udud项目成本的六个最重要因素:设计复杂度; udconstruction复杂程度;技术进步水平;重复提成百分比;存在特殊问题和工作范围。时间/成本相关因素中的三个因素是要交付的项目的重要性;客户及其代理人允许的评标时间;需要完成该项目。客户,顾问承包人在类似项目上的经验;承包商的厂房和设备的充足性在项目各方经验相关的因素中最为重要。选择的因素用于成本预测模型。

著录项

  • 作者

    B.O. Ganiyu; I.K. Zubairu;

  • 作者单位
  • 年度 2010
  • 总页数
  • 原文格式 PDF
  • 正文语种 {"code":"en","name":"English","id":9}
  • 中图分类

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