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Carbon Sinks and Variations of pCO2 in the Southern Ocean From 1998 to 2018 Based on a Deep Learning Approach

机译:1998年至2018年,南海碳汇和PCO2的变化,基于深入学习方法

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摘要

The Southern Ocean comprises 25% of the global ocean surface area, accounts for nearly half of the total carbon sink of the global oceans, and is a place that significantly reduces the impacts of anthropogenic CO2 emissions. Due to the sparsity of observational data, the changes in Southern Ocean carbon sinks over time remain uncertain. In this study, we integrated correlation analysis and a feedforward neural network to improve the accuracy of carbon flux estimations in the Southern Ocean. Based on observation data from 1998–2018, we reconstructed the Southern Ocean's pCO2 grid data during this period. The root-mean-square error obtained by fitting the observation data was 8.86 μatm, indicating that the results were better than those of the two primary statistically based models in the Surface Ocean pCO2 mapping intercomparison. The results also showed that the Southern Ocean's capacity to act as a carbon sink has gradually increased since 2000; it reduced during 2010–2013 but increased significantly after that. The Southern Ocean's seasonality is characterized by minimum carbon uptake in winter due to increased upwelling; this is followed by a rapid increase toward maximum uptake in summer, which is mainly biologically driven. There is an apparent double-ring structure in the Southern Ocean, as noted in other studies. This study confirms that the inner ring (50–70°S) is a carbon source area gradually transforming into a carbon sink, while the outer ring (35–50°S) continues to serve as a carbon sink.
机译:南海占全球海洋地区的25%,占全球海洋总碳汇的近一半,是一个显着降低人为二氧化碳排放的影响的地方。由于观察数据的稀疏性,南海碳汇过期的变化仍然不确定。在该研究中,我们集成了相关分析和前馈神经网络,以提高南海碳通量估计的准确性。基于1998 - 2018年的观测数据,我们在此期间重建了南洋海洋的PCO2网格数据。通过拟合观察数据而获得的根均方误差为8.86μATM,表明结果优于表面海洋PCO2映射互通的两种主要统计模型的结果。结果还表明,自2000年以来,南海充当碳汇的能力逐渐增加;它在2010-2013期间减少,但在此之后显着增加。南海的季节性的特点是由于增加的冬季最低碳吸收;随后是夏季最大摄取的快速增加,主要是生物学驱动。如其他研究所述,南海有一个明显的双环结构。该研究证实内环(50-70°S)是逐渐变换成碳汇的碳源区域,而外环(35-50°S)继续用作碳汇。

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