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Stochastic Optimal Dispatch of Virtual Power Plant considering Correlation of Distributed Generations

机译:考虑分布商代相关性的虚拟电厂随机最佳调度

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摘要

Virtual power plant (VPP) is an aggregation of multiple distributed generations, energy storage, and controllable loads. Affected by natural conditions, the uncontrollable distributed generations within VPP, such as wind and photovoltaic generations, are extremely random and relative. Considering the randomness and its correlation of uncontrollable distributed generations, this paper constructs the chance constraints stochastic optimal dispatch of VPP including stochastic variables and its random correlation. The probability distributions of independent wind and photovoltaic generations are described by empirical distribution functions, and their joint probability density model is established by Frank-copula function. And then, sample average approximation (SAA) is applied to convert the chance constrained stochastic optimization model into a deterministic optimization model. Simulation cases are calculated based on the AIMMS. Simulation results of this paper mathematic model are compared with the results of deterministic optimization model without stochastic variables and stochastic optimization considering stochastic variables but not random correlation. Furthermore, this paper analyzes how SAA sampling frequency and the confidence level influence the results of stochastic optimization. The numerical example results show the effectiveness of the stochastic optimal dispatch of VPP considering the randomness and its correlations of distributed generations.
机译:虚拟电厂(VPP)是多个分布式代代,能量存储和可控负载的聚合。受自然条件影响,VPP内的无法控制的分布代,如风和光伏代,非常随机且相对。考虑到无法控制分布代的随机性及其相关性,本文构建了VPP的机会限制,包括随机变量及其随意相关性。通过经验分布函数描述了独立风和光伏代的概率分布,并通过Frank-Copula功能建立了它们的联合概率密度模型。然后,应用样本平均近似(SAA)以将机会约束随机优化模型转换为确定性优化模型。基于AIMMS计算仿真情况。将本文数学模型的仿真结果与确定性优化模型的结果进行了比较,而没有考虑随机变量但不是随机相关性的随机变量和随机优化。此外,本文分析了SAA采样频率和置信水平如何影响随机优化的结果。数字示例结果表明,考虑到分布代的随机性及其相关性,VPP随机最佳调度的有效性。

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