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A Techno-Economic Study of an Entirely Renewable Energy-Based Power Supply for North America for 2030 Conditions

机译:对北美完全可再生能源电源的技术经济研究2030条条件

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摘要

In this study power generation and demand are matched through a least-cost mix of renewable energy (RE) resources and storage technologies for North America by 2030. The study is performed using an hourly resolved model based on a linear optimization algorithm. The geographical, technical and economic potentials of different forms of RE resources enable the option of building a super grid between different North American regions. North America (including the U.S., Canada and Mexico in this paper), is divided into 20 sub-regions based on their population, demand, area and electricity grid structure. Four scenarios have been evaluated: region-wide, country-wide, area-wide and an integrated scenario. The levelised cost of electricity is found to be quite attractive in such a system, with the range from 63 €/MWhel in a decentralized case and 42 €/MWhel in a more centralized and integrated scenario. Electrical grid interconnections significantly reduce the storage requirement and overall cost of the energy system. Among all RE resources, wind and solar PV are found to be the least-cost options and hence the main contributors to fossil fuel substitution. The results clearly show that a 100% RE-based system is feasible and a real policy option at a modest cost. However, such a tremendous transition will not be possible in a short time if policy-makers, energy investors and other relevant organizations do not support the proposed system.
机译:在这项研究中发电和需求都在2030年通过可再生能源(RE)的资源和存储技术的最低成本组合为北美匹配使用基于线性优化算法每小时解析模型进行研究。不同形式的RE资源的地理,技术和经济潜力能够选择在不同北美地区之间建立超大网格。北美(包括美国,加拿大和墨西哥),基于人口,需求,面积和电网结构分为20个子区域。已经评估了四种情况:区域范围,全国范围,广域宽,综合情景。在这种系统中发现电力的调度成本非常有吸引力,其在分散案件中的63欧元/万种的范围,42欧元/ mwwhel在更集中和综合的情况下。电网互连显着降低了能量系统的存储需求和总成本。在所有重新资源中,发现风和太阳能光伏是最不成本的选择,从而成为化石燃料替代的主要贡献者。结果清楚地表明,以适度的成本,100%的基于RE的系统是可行的和真正的政策选择。但是,如果政策制定者,能源投资者和其他相关组织不支持提出的系统,则在短时间内,在短时间内,这种巨大过渡将不可能。

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