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A NEW HYBRID FUZZY CYBERNETIC ANALYTIC NETWORK PROCESS MODEL TO IDENTIFY SHARED RISKS IN PPP PROJECTS

机译:一种新的混合模糊控制论网络流程模型,用于识别PPP项目中的共同风险

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摘要

A proper risk management strategy is essential in property management. For controlling and reducing risks on Public-Private Partnership (PPP) project, risk allocation is a major component of PPP risk management. Identifying appropriate shared risks and optimal risk allocation in a structured way is a complex process. The aim of this study is to develop a quantitative approach for equitable risk allocation with attention to identifying dependencies between risk allocation criteria and barriers. The paper presents an approach in the form of a hybrid Fuzzy method and Cybernetic Analytic Network Process (CANP) model for identifying shared risks. The approach involves the use of Fuzzy sets to convert linguistic principles and experiential expert knowledge into systematic quantitative analysis and the CANP to solve the problem of dependency and feedback between criteria and barriers as well as selection of shared risks. A case study is presented to demonstrate the use of the model in selecting shared risks. The study involves development of 10 criteria and 8 barriers. Finally, of 40 significant risks, 14 risks are successfully allocated between the public and private sector in Iranian PPP projects.
机译:适当的风险管理战略在物业管理方面至关重要。对于控制和减少公私合作伙伴关系(PPP)项目的风险,风险分配是PPP风险管理的主要组成部分。以结构化方式识别适当的共享风险和最佳风险分配是复杂的过程。本研究的目的是制定公平风险分配的定量方法,以注意识别风险分配标准和障碍之间的依赖关系。本文呈现了一种识别共享风险的混合模糊方法和网络学分析网络过程(CANP)模型的形式。该方法涉及使用模糊集,将语言原则和经验专家知识转换为系统的定量分析和CANP,以解决标准和障碍之间的依赖性和反馈的问题以及共同风险的选择。提出了一个案例研究以证明模型在选择共享风险时的使用。该研究涉及10个标准和8个障碍的发展。最后,在伊朗人PPP项目的公共和私营部门之间成功地分配了40项重大风险,14个风险。

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