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A Spatio-Temporal Autowave Model of Shanghai Territory Development

机译:上海地区发展的一片时空自动控制模型

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摘要

A spatio-temporal model of megacity development that treats the megacity as an active medium is presented. From our point of view, it is advisable to consider the process of urban ecosystem development from the standpoint of the theory of autowave self-organization in active media. According to this concept, the urban ecosystem is considered as interacting with each other’s natural and anthropogenic subsystems with significant heterogeneity of areas affected by human intervention and urban geobiocoenoses. The model is based on the general principles of active medium dynamics; therefore, it is universal for any object to be considered an active medium. The only difference when using the model to predict the development of urban ecosystems in countries with different socio-economic and political prerequisites is the variety of parameters included in the model, i.e., the activation parameter, the autowave process inhibitors, and the characteristic scales of the activator and inhibitor. The model was tested on the example of Moscow expansion in the period of 1952−1968 and showed good agreement with the map data. By means of the model, a prediction of Shanghai and surrounding territory development until 2030 was made.
机译:提出了作为活性培养基将巨型性视为巨大的巨大发展的时空模型。从我们的角度来看,建议从活跃媒体的自动自动组织理论的角度考虑城市生态系统发展的过程。根据这一概念,城市生态系统被认为是与彼此的自然和人为子系统相互作用,其具有受人类干预和城市地产胶质的区域的显着异质性。该模型基于主动介质动态的一般原则;因此,对于任何物体被认为是活性介质,它是通用的。使用该模型预测具有不同社会经济和政治先决条件的国家城市生态系统的发展的唯一区别是模型中包括的各种参数,即激活参数,自动流动过程抑制剂和特征尺度活化剂和抑制剂。该模型在1952-1968期间莫斯科扩展的示例进行了测试,并与地图数据显示了良好的一致性。通过该模型,在2030年之前对上海和周围地区发展的预测。

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