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Real effects of government debt on sustainable economic growth in Malaysia

机译:政府债务对马来西亚可持续经济增长的实际影响

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摘要

The persistent increase of government debt in Malaysia in the recent years has raised con-cerns as to whether the borrowings have spurred the economy or became a drag on econom-ic growth. The present paper investigates the real effect of government debt on sustainable economic growth in Malaysia using the Autoregressive Distributed Lag approach for the period of 1970-2015. The results show there are positive significant long- and short-run relationships between government debt and sustainable economic growth. There is also a unidirectional causality running from government debt to sustainable economic growth. The findings indicate that Malaysia’s government debt is an important macroeconomic element for sustainability of economic growth in Malaysia. There is no evidence, however, to con-clude that the level of government debt had any adverse impacts on sustainable economic growth.
机译:近年来马来西亚政府债务的持续增长已经提出了借款刺激经济的核心,或者成为经济学 - IC增长的拖累。本文调查了政府债务对马来西亚可持续经济增长的实际效力,在1970 - 2015年期间使用自回归分布式滞后方法。结果表明,政府债务与可持续经济增长之间存在积极的显着长期和短期关系。政府债务的单向因果关系涉及可持续的经济增长。调查结果表明,马来西亚的政府债务是马来西亚经济增长可持续性的重要宏观经济因素。然而,没有证据表明,政府债务水平对可持续经济增长产生了不利影响。

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