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PATTERN RECOGNITION BASED SPEED FORECASTING METHODOLOGY FOR URBAN TRAFFIC NETWORK

机译:基于模式识别的城市交通网络速度预测方法

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摘要

A full methodology of short-term traffic prediction is proposed for urban road traffic network via Artificial Neural Network (ANN). The goal of the forecasting is to provide speed estimation forward by 5, 15 and 30 min. Unlike similar research results in this field, the investigated method aims to predict traffic speed for signalized urban road links and not for highway or arterial roads. The methodology contains an efficient feature selection algorithm in order to determine the appropriate input parameters required for neural network training. As another contribution of the paper, a built-in incomplete data handling is provided as input data (originating from traffic sensors or Floating Car Data (FCD)) might be absent or biased in practice. Therefore, input data handling can assure a robust operation of speed forecasting also in case of missing data. The proposed algorithm is trained, tested and analysed in a test network built-up in a microscopic traffic simulator by using daily course of real-world traffic.
机译:通过人工神经网络(ANN)为城市道路交通网络提出了短期交通预测的完整方法。预测的目标是通过5,15和30分钟向前提供速度估计。与此领域的类似研究不同,调查方法旨在预测信号化城市道路环节的交通速度,而不是公路或动脉道路。该方法包含一个有效的特征选择算法,以便确定神经网络训练所需的适当输入参数。作为纸张的另一个贡献,提供了一个内置的不完整数据处理作为输入数据(源自交通传感器或浮动汽车数据(FCD))可能在实践中不存在或偏置。因此,在丢失数据的情况下,输入数据处理可以确保速度预测的稳健操作。通过使用现实世界流量的日常课程,在微观流量模拟器中建立的测试网络中进行了训练,测试和分析了所提出的算法。

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