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On the probability of habitable planets

机译:关于可居住行星的概率

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摘要

In the past 15 years, astronomers have revealed that a significant fractionof the stars should harbor planets and that it is likely that terrestrialplanets are abundant in our galaxy. Among these planets, how many arehabitable, i.e. suitable for life and its evolution? These questions have beendiscussed for years and we are slowly making progress. Liquid water remains thekey criterion for habitability. It can exist in the interior of a variety ofplanetary bodies, but it is usually assumed that liquid water at the surfaceinteracting with rocks and light is necessary for the emergence of a life ableto modify its environment and evolve. A first key issue is thus to understandthe climatic conditions allowing surface liquid water assuming a suitableatmosphere. This have been studied with global mean 1D models which has definedthe "classical habitable zone", the range of orbital distances within whichworlds can maintain liquid water on their surfaces (Kasting et al. 1993). A newgeneration of 3D climate models based on universal equations and tested onbodies in the solar system is now available to explore with accuracy climateregimes that could locally allow liquid water. A second key issue is now tobetter understand the processes which control the composition and the evolutionof the atmospheres of exoplanets, and in particular the geophysical feedbacksthat seems to be necessary to maintain a continuously habitable climate. Fromthat point of view, it is not impossible that the Earth's case may be specialand uncommon.
机译:在过去的15年里,天文学家透露,恒星的重要组成部分应该港口,并且可能在银河系中可能丰富。在这些行星中,有多少arabrable,即适合生活及其演变?这些问题多年来待了,我们正在慢慢进步。液态水仍然是适合性的标准。它可以存在于各种各样的身体的内部,但通常认为与岩石和光线的表面交互式的液态水是必要的,因为植物的出现是改变其环境和演变的。因此,第一关键问题是了解允许表面液体呈现出造成的气候条件的气候条件。这已采用全球平均1D模型研究,该模型定义了“经典居所”,其中世界内的轨道距离可以在其表面上维持液态水(Kasting等,1993)。基于通用方程的3D气候模型新的3D气候模型,现在可以探索可在局部允许液态水的精确升高的精确升高的探索。第二个关键问题现在是Tobetter了解控制组成的过程和外产内部气氛的进化,特别是地球物理反馈似乎是必要的,以保持不断居住的气候。从观点来看,地球的案例可能是特别的案例并非不可能。

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    François Forget;

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