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A Method for Mapping Future Urbanization in the United States

机译:一种映射美国未来城市化的方法

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摘要

Cities are poised to absorb additional people. Their sustainability, or ability to accommodate a population increase without depleting resources or compromising future growth, depends on whether they harness the efficiency gains from urban land management. Population is often projected as a bulk national number without details about spatial distribution. We use Landsat and population data in a methodology to project and map U.S. urbanization for the year 2020 and document its spatial pattern. This methodology is important to spatially disaggregate projected population and assist land managers to monitor land use, assess infrastructure and distribute resources. We found the U.S. west coast urban areas to have the fastest population growth with relatively small land consumption resulting in future decrease in per capita land use. Except for Miami (FL), most other U.S. large urban areas, especially in the Midwest, are growing spatially faster than their population and inadvertently consuming land needed for ecosystem services. In large cities, such as New York, Chicago, Houston and Miami, land development is expected more in suburban zones than urban cores. In contrast, in Los Angeles land development within the city core is greater than in its suburbs.
机译:城市准备吸收额外的人。他们的可持续性或能够在没有消耗资源的情况下增加人口增加或妥协的增长,取决于他们是否利用城市土地管理的效率收益。没有关于空间分布的细节,人口通常被预测为批量的国家号码。我们使用Landsat和人口数据以项目的方法和地图20020年的城市化,并记录其空间模式。该方法对于空间分解预计人口和协助土地管理人员来监测土地利用,评估基础设施和分销资源的方法是重要的。我们发现美国西海岸城市地区拥有最快的人口增长,土地消费量相对较小,导致人均土地利用的未来减少。除迈阿密(佛罗里达州)外,大多数其他美国大型城市地区,特别是在中西部,在空间上增长,而不是他们的人口,无意中消耗生态系统服务所需的土地。在纽约,芝加哥,休斯顿和迈阿密等大城市,预计郊区地区的土地发展比城市核心更多。相比之下,在洛杉矶的土地开发中,城市核心大于其郊区。

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