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DYNAMIC ANALYSIS OF A REWARD PROCESS DEFINED ON A CYCLIC RENEWAL PROCESS WITH APPLICATIONS TO PREVENTIVE MAINTENANCE PROBLEMS

机译:在循环重新续订过程中定义的奖励过程的动态分析与预防性维护问题

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摘要

A cyclic renewal process is considered as an extension of an alternating renewal process, whereeach of the underlying independently and identically distributed (i.i.d.) nonnegative random increments iscomposed of multiple stages. Such a process may be appropriate for analyzing optimal preventive maintenancepolicies for production management, where a pair of two stages representing an uptime until a minorfailure and the subsequent minimal repair time would be repeated until it is decided to conduct a completeoverhaul. In order to address economic problems in such applications, we also introduce a reward processwith jumps defined on the cyclic renewal process. When the system is running in stage j, the profit growslinearly at the rate of ρ(j). Upon a minor failure, the subsequent minimal repair in stage (j + 1) incurs thelinear cost at the rate of ρ(j + 1). In addition, the fixed cost may be imposed whenever either a minimalrepair or a complete overhaul takes place, resulting in jumps of the reward process. The problem is thento determine when to conduct a complete overhaul so as to maximize the total reward in the time interval(0, T ]. A multivariate Markov process generated from both the cyclic renewal process and the reward processis studied extensively, yielding various new transform results explicitly and deriving their asymptotic expansions.These results are used to numerically explore optimal preventive maintenance policies for productionmanagement.
机译:循环更新过程被视为交替更新过程的扩展,其中每个基础独立且相同分布(即i.d.)的非负随机增量由多个阶段组成。这样的过程可能适用于分析生产管理的最佳预防性维护策略,其中两个阶段代表着直到发生小故障为止的正常运行时间以及随后的最小维修时间,直到决定进行彻底检修为止。为了解决此类应用程序中的经济问题,我们还引入了奖励过程,该过程具有在周期性更新过程中定义的跳跃。当系统在阶段j运行时,利润以ρ(j)的速率线性增长。在发生轻微故障时,随后的阶段(j +1)中的最小维修将导致线性成本以ρ(j +1)的速率发生。此外,无论何时进行最小维修或彻底检修,都可能施加固定成本,从而导致奖励过程的跳跃。然后问题是确定何时进行彻底检修,以使时间间隔(0,T]内的总报酬最大化。广泛研究了由循环更新过程和报酬过程产生的多元马尔可夫过程,产生了各种新的变换结果明确并推导了它们的渐近展开式。这些结果用于数值研究生产管理的最佳预防性维护策略。

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