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New evidence on the effects of job creation schemes in Germany—a matching approach with threefold heterogeneity

机译:关于德国就业创建方案影响的新证据 - 一种匹配方法,具有三倍异质性

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摘要

This paper evaluates the effects of job creation schemes on the participating individuals in Germany. Since previous empirical studies of these measures have been based on relatively small datasets and focussed on East Germany, this is the first study which allows to draw policy-relevant conclusions. The very informative and exhaustive dataset at hand not only justifies the application of a matching estimator but also allows to take account of threefold heterogeneity. The recently developed multiple treatment framework is used to evaluate the effects with respect to regional, individual and programme heterogeneity. The results show considerable differences with respect to these sources of heterogeneity, but the overall finding is very clear. At the end of our observation period, that is two years after the start of the programmes, participants in job creation schemes have a significantly lower success probability on the labour market in comparison to matched non-participants.
机译:本文评估了就业计划对德国参与人员的影响。由于先前对这些措施的实证研究都是基于相对较小的数据集,并且侧重于东德,因此这是第一项可以得出与政策相关的结论的研究。手头非常有用且详尽的数据集不仅证明了匹配估计器的应用合理,而且还考虑了三重异质性。最近开发的多重治疗框架用于评估关于地区,个人和计划异质性的影响。结果表明,这些异质性来源存在很大差异,但总体发现非常明确。在我们的观察期结束时,即该计划开始后的两年,与相称的非参与者相比,创造就业计划的参与者在劳动力市场上的成功概率要低得多。

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