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Improving Load Forecasting of Electric Vehicle Charging Stations Through Missing Data Imputation

机译:通过缺失数据载销改善电动车充电站的负载预测

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摘要

As the penetration of electric vehicles (EVs) accelerates according to eco-friendly policies, the impact of electric vehicle charging demand on a power distribution network is becoming significant for reliable power system operation. In this regard, accurate power demand or load forecasting is of great help not only for unit commitment problem considering demand response but also for long-term power system operation and planning. In this paper, we present a forecasting model of EV charging station load based on long short-term memory (LSTM). Besides, to improve the forecasting accuracy, we devise an imputation method for handling missing values in EV charging data. For the verification of the forecasting model and our imputation approach, performance comparison with several imputation techniques is conducted. The experimental results show that our imputation approach achieves significant improvements in forecasting accuracy on data with a high missing rate. In particular, compared to a strategy without applying imputation, the proposed imputation method results in reduced forecasting errors of up to 9.8%.
机译:随着电动汽车的渗透(EVS)根据环保政策加速,电动车辆充电需求对配电网络的影响对于可靠的电力系统运行变得显着。在这方面,准确的电力需求或负载预测不仅适用于考虑需求响应的单位承诺问题,而且对于长期电力系统运行和规划。本文介绍了基于长短期记忆(LSTM)的EV充电站负荷预测模型。此外,为了提高预测精度,我们设计了一种用于处理EV充电数据中缺失值的估算方法。为了验证预测模型和避难所的方法,进行了与几种估算技术的性能比较。实验结果表明,我们的估算方法实现了预测对具有高缺失率数据的准确性的显着改进。特别是,与不施用州的策略相比,所提出的撤消方法导致预测误差高达9.8%。

著录项

  • 作者单位
  • 年度 2020
  • 总页数
  • 原文格式 PDF
  • 正文语种 eng
  • 中图分类
  • 入库时间 2022-08-20 22:02:46

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